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Cabo San Lucas Weather in October: What to Expect

October brings hot days that are easing from summer, warm-season conditions and a chance of late-season storms. It’s also a busy month for Cabo fishing tournaments, including Bisbee’s Black and Blue.

Mountains and a bay at sunrise in Baja California Sur

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What is Cabo San Lucas weather like in October?

Expect hot, mostly dry weather in Cabo San Lucas in October. One climate guide puts the average high at 89°F (32°C), with an average low of 67°F (20°C). Another lists October averages of 90°F for the high and 70.3°F for the low, so a sensible expectation is daytime temperatures around the upper 80s to about 90°F, with warm evenings.

Those figures are climate averages, not a forecast for your travel dates. The first guide uses 30-year monthly averages from 1970 to 2000, while the other publishes a weather chart without a comparable climate period in the supplied information. For a broader month-by-month comparison, see our Cabo weather by month guide.

October is cooler than Cabo’s hottest month, July, when average highs reach 91°F, but it is still a hot-weather beach trip. Plan outdoor activities for the cooler parts of the day if heat bothers you, and don’t assume the end of summer means cool afternoons. Sunseason’s climate guide gives the October averages and identifies July as the hottest month; U.S. News Travel lists its own October temperature figures.

October planning detailWhat the sources say
Average daytime high89°F (32°C) or 90°F
Average overnight low67°F (20°C) or 70.3°F
Average rainfall40 mm (1.6 in) or 1.46 in
Hurricane seasonRuns from mid-May to November

The temperature and rainfall figures vary by source, but both rainfall estimates are modest. The climate guide classifies October as dry, using under 60 mm (2.4 in) as its cutoff. These are useful planning ranges, not promises about any particular week.

How rainy is October, and is hurricane risk still a concern?

October is not listed as Cabo’s wettest month. The climate guide says September is the wettest, February is the driest, and there is no clear rainy season. Its October average is 40 mm (1.6 in) of rain; U.S. News Travel lists 1.46 inches. That suggests rain is worth allowing for, but the available averages don’t point to a washout as the default.

There is still late-season storm risk. The Pacific hurricane season runs from mid-May to November, and U.S. News Travel notes that tropical storms are typical during the season, while hurricanes have made landfall in the region. It does not give a specific October probability. So don’t read a season-wide warning as a prediction for your dates, but do check forecasts before traveling and consider the source’s recommendation to look at travel insurance.

If storm planning matters to you, read our Cabo hurricane-season guide before booking. I’d be cautious about a rigid, nonrefundable itinerary if your plans depend on a particular boat trip or outdoor activity.

What about water temperature and Bisbee’s?

The research for this guide does not include a reliable October sea-temperature figure. I’d rather leave out a made-up number than tell you the water will be a specific temperature. If swimming comfort is a deciding factor, ask your hotel or tour operator about current conditions close to your trip, and choose your beach with care. Our guide to Cabo beaches explains the beach options.

October is a notable month for fishing, too. U.S. News Travel identifies September and October as the most popular fishing months in Cabo and says fall brings tuna, wahoo, blue marlin and sailfish to the area’s waters. The Los Cabos Billfish Tournament and Bisbee’s Black and Blue Tournament both take place in October, but the source does not list exact dates.

That missing date matters if you’re planning around the tournament. Check the event’s current schedule before booking flights or a hotel, rather than assuming it falls on the same days each year. For a general look at charter options, see our Cabo fishing charters guide. U.S. News Travel’s Cabo visit guide covers fall fishing and names the October tournaments.

Compare Cabo hotel prices

October rates can rise as Cabo heads toward peak season, so check prices and availability before you settle on your dates.

Is October a good time to visit Cabo?

October is a good fit if you want hot weather and are comfortable keeping an eye on late hurricane-season conditions. The climate guide includes October in its recommended period for tropical holidays and in its beach travel window. But if you need a precise forecast months ahead, averages can’t tell you whether your week will be sunny, rainy or affected by a storm.

It can also be a useful month to plan a fishing trip, especially if you’re interested in the tournament scene. Just confirm event dates before you commit. For a beach-focused trip, remember that the weather and the sea temperature are separate questions: the air averages are available, but the research here doesn’t establish an October water-temperature number.

Before you book

Start the hotel search early. U.S. News Travel says Cabo hotel rates begin to climb in October and November as the area prepares for peak season, and recommends booking at least a few months ahead. It doesn’t provide a specific October room price, so compare the dates and properties you’re considering rather than relying on a general rate estimate.

Pack for hot days, bring a light layer for evenings if you tend to feel cool, and leave room in your plans for a weather check. October offers a practical mix of summer warmth, relatively low average rainfall and a busy fishing calendar. The tradeoff is that hurricane season has not quite ended.

Quick answers

Is Cabo San Lucas hot in October?

Yes. Climate sources put October average highs around 89°F to 90°F, with average lows from 67°F to 70.3°F. These are averages, not a forecast.

What is the water temperature in Cabo in October?

The sources used here do not provide a reliable October sea-temperature figure. Check current conditions with your hotel or tour operator before your trip.

Is October still hurricane season in Cabo?

Yes. The Pacific hurricane season runs from mid-May to November. Sources describe tropical storms as typical during the season and note that hurricanes have made landfall in the region, but do not give an October-specific probability.

When is the Bisbee fishing tournament in October?

Bisbee’s Black and Blue Tournament takes place in October, but the source does not provide specific dates. Check the current event schedule before booking around it.